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Hunting Snow Leopard

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I’ve been thinking for a few months that Mac OS X 10.6 (or the like) would be introduced to developers at WWDC 2008. I’ve said as much to those unfortunate enough to be within earshot. I haven’t mentioned it here … and in recent days I’ve felt less confident about this gut feeling based on the public WWDC session schedule.

If Apple was trying to return to an 18-month release cycle for Mac OS X, my thought process went (after the CEO announced just such a push), a developer preview would almost have to be shown at this WWDC. That has lingered in the back of my mind. It also provided a reason to go to the conference if you were interested more in the Mac track than the iPhone.

Now there are rumors flying around, based on various strings in Apple software and from other sources, that there will be a preview release of Mac OS X 10.6 at WWDC. And it’s being referred to with the moniker, “Snow Leopard.”

If, as these rumors say, the upgrade will focus on reliability and security, then the general lack of room for schedules on it is more plausible. The name distinguishes it little from Leopard, but maybe just enough.

However, unless this release were more like the free-with-$20 shipping Mac OS X 10.1 update, who would buy it? Would Apple charge $129 retail for stability and security? It seems that there would have to be more.

I can definitely see that security could be enhanced by greater adoption of certain features — some reasonable candidates for further enhancement since Leopard — which are the focus of several sessions at WWDC, according to the published schedule.

Since I’m always watching for when old rumors swing back around, I’d guess that one additional change we could see is the mythical “Illuminous” user interface. (Assuming, of course, that this is not the unified interface style we already have in Leopard.) It usually takes two years for fun old rumors to become reality, if they ever do — that’s enough time for many to have forgotten about them and for actual development work to have taken place. A new interface with a new name would jack up the value of a new OS in some people’s minds. Moreso if it actually works better than the old one.

If the lack of PowerPC support were true, then this would be an astounding announcement. It would cut off upgrades for a large (but ever-decreasing) percentage of the Mac population. Already, Leopard itself was limited to G5s and the newest G4s. This could have an interesting effect on those institutional customers who bought G5s for their compute power. Let’s recall that although the Intel Macs have been out since January 2006 and the transition was relatively quick, the high end Power Mac and Xserve systems were the last to be replaced. For a while yet, there can still be Apple PowerPC-based systems that are less than three years old.

Ah, we’ll see what happens Monday. You never know with rumors. I have no inside information and even I wouldn’t make any important decisions based on these musings.


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